بررسی اجمالی تحلیلی جفت ارزهای اصلی در 2025.01.15

The EUR/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.0241
• قبلی بستن: 1.0307
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.64 %

On Tuesday, the euro showed moderate growth amid the falling dollar after Bloomberg reported that Trump’s future economic team will insist on gradual rate hikes to avoid a jump in inflation. The euro maintained its positions amid hawkish comments from ECB Governing Council representative Holtzman, who said that the outcome of the ECB meeting later this month is unclear as core inflation in the Eurozone remains high.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.0275, 1.0238, 1.0223
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.0326, 1.0357, 1.0382, 1.0403, 1.0425, 1.0447

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bearish. Captured liquidity below 1.0223 began to distribute higher. The nearest level where such distribution can be done is the resistance level at 1.0326. However, trades should be sought on intraday time frames from 1.0275 or 1.0238. There are no optimal entry points for selling right now.

سناریوی جایگزین:

if the price breaks the resistance level of 1.0425 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.2196
• قبلی بستن: 1.2216
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.16 %

The British pound slid to $1.216 on Tuesday, marking the sixth consecutive day of losses and the lowest level since November 2023, as concerns over the UK’s financial health weighed on sentiment. A surge in government bond supply pressured UK assets, while inflation fears drove bond yields higher in both the UK and the US. Upcoming UK consumer price data due for release on Wednesday could further impact markets. Analysts warn that volatile inflation could lower expectations for a rate cut by the Bank of England, increasing the strain on the UK economy.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.2192
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.2262, 1.2322, 1.2371, 1.2455, 1.2507, 1.2540, 1.2568

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair is bearish. The situation has not changed much compared to yesterday. Buyers managed to push the price above 1.2192, which with the MACD divergence increases the probability of corrective movement. Intraday, we can consider buying from 1.2192 with a target of 1.2262, where we can switch to selling, subject to confirmation in the form of sellers’ initiative.

سناریوی جایگزین:

if the price breaks through the resistance level at 1.2540 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 157.46
• قبلی بستن: 157.98
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.33 %

The Japanese yen traded near 158 per dollar on Wednesday, at its weakest level since last July, when the Japanese authorities intervened to support the currency. The yen remains under pressure as investors await key US inflation data that could limit the scope for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year. Domestically, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said earlier this week that the Central Bank is likely to discuss the possibility of a rate hike at next week’s policy meeting.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 157.18, 156.24, 155.94, 154.34
• سطوح مقاومت: 157.98, 158.40, 159.47

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY currency pair is bullish. The price is trading in a broadly volatile flat at 157.18–157.98. Sellers actively defended the upper boundary of the range, the intraday bias is also on the sellers’ side. Under such market conditions, the probability of a breakdown of 157.98 support with further downward movement to 156.24 increases.

سناریوی جایگزین:

if the price breaks and consolidates below the 156.24 support, the downtrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 2662
• قبلی بستن: 2676
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.53 %

Gold prices hit $2,680 per ounce on Wednesday, reversing the previous session’s gains, as investors became more cautious ahead of US consumer inflation data to be released later today. Any signs of renewed inflation could spur further cautious adjustments to expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which is negative for precious metals.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 2663, 2645, 2636, 2622, 2603, 2570
• سطوح مقاومت: 2683, 2692

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bearish, but it is close to change. The price has reached the resistance level of 2683, where sellers may take the initiative. If it happens, intraday it is worth considering selling with a target up to 2664. However, if the price breaks 2683, most likely there will be a change in the medium-term trend, and the growth may accelerate.

سناریوی جایگزین:

if the price breaks above the 2692 resistance level, the uptrend will likely resume.